TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Canisius Golden Griffins, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers76c5,844$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.521,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins39c3,263$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Canisius Golden Griffins2c2,616$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canisius Golden Griffins49c1,667$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.7624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers66c921.33$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.893,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Canisius Golden Griffins29c596.81$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.141,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked Canisius Golden Griffins26c386.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers72c340.81$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.076844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers74c339.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Canisius Golden Griffins38c336.05$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Canisius Golden Griffins21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Canisius Golden Griffins20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5993941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers67c299.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers79c288$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.781,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.243,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Canisius Golden Griffins23c199.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Canisius Golden Griffins19c178.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers57c154.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins24c154$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers77c149$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins21c142.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.48540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers70c135.56$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins14c134.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Canisius Golden Griffins27c106$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6617627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers73c101.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.676549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd453…7a32backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd459…fe2fbacked Canisius Golden Griffins24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins12c91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers59c83.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.111,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers65c79.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Canisius Golden Griffins33c71.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8110347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers75c68.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.181,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Canisius Golden Griffins24c60.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Canisius Golden Griffins26c38.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers52c21.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers76c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.796566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.