TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drake Bulldogsof Drake Bulldogs, Southern Illinois Salukis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Illinois Salukis59c3,371$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.323,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Drake Bulldogs9c2,825$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.515520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Drake Bulldogs31c1,319$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.081,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Drake Bulldogs36c1,051$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.882,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Southern Illinois Salukis75c719.87$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Southern Illinois Salukis14c684.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.413313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Drake Bulldogs30c622.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.014,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis68c591.07$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.662,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Southern Illinois Salukis13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Drake Bulldogs53c403.72$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.091,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs31c295.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.391,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Illinois Salukis70c264.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.812,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Drake Bulldogs8c262.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Drake Bulldogs30c197.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.941,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Southern Illinois Salukis58c153$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis68c145.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drake Bulldogs33c142.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.911,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis68c139$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5211346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Drake Bulldogs18c137.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.653910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs45c132.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis64c132$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.89849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Drake Bulldogs43c120.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Drake Bulldogs32c100.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Southern Illinois Salukis10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Southern Illinois Salukis10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed Southern Illinois Salukis10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Drake Bulldogs13c98.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Drake Bulldogs36c97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.511,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Drake Bulldogs41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Drake Bulldogs31c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.620254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis57c75.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.28937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drake Bulldogs36c70.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.281,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Drake Bulldogs35c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7514846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Drake Bulldogs43c64.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.265,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Drake Bulldogs43c47.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1618241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Southern Illinois Salukis71c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Drake Bulldogs32c41.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.992763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x602a…6b4cbacked Drake Bulldogs45c38.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Southern Illinois Salukis27c38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs31c36.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.332,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Drake Bulldogs39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Drake Bulldogs41c29.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.272,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5081…cf94backed Southern Illinois Salukis70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis70c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Southern Illinois Salukis58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Southern Illinois Salukis57c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.361931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.