NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab027327c0054884651dcef6eedb5a6b684712ced457426e65e8f5c554c16d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pelicans, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Pelicans | 19c | 44,710$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 77c | 32,489$25,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,373.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pelicans | 7c | 9,921$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.82 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 5,573$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 11c | 3,470$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 4c | 2,381$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pelicans | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,638$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Thunder | 77c | 1,258$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pelicans | 22c | 1,200$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Pelicans | 13c | 1,190$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…8828backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pelicans | 24c | 1,126$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,125$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 76c | 1,002$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…02edbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…86cfbacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Pelicans | 10c | 920.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Pelicans | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Pelicans | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Pelicans | 13c | 776.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Pelicans | 11c | 663.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pelicans | 29c | 637.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Pelicans | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans | 14c | 587.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Pelicans | 18c | 541.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…e5a8backed Pelicans | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Pelicans | 19c | 499.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans | 10c | 464.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pelicans | 11c | 463.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c7…cbb3backed Pelicans | 21c | 434.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…11f9backed Pelicans | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…6ea2backed Pelicans | 24c | 390.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 13c | 385.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 9c | 344.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Pelicans | 16c | 312.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pelicans | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Pelicans | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pelicans | 7c | 218.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d9dfbacked Pelicans | 12c | 214.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…3fbdbacked Pelicans | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Pelicans | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…65afbacked Pelicans | 12c | 191.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Pelicans | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Pelicans | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…9056backed Pelicans | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Pelicans | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Pelicans | 14c | 139.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…ef45backed Pelicans | 11c | 130.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…04c0backed Pelicans | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Pelicans | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…0b45backed Pelicans | 11c | 122.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Pelicans | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Pelicans | 17c | 116.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…c7a8backed Pelicans | 13c | 116.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Pelicans | 11c | 115.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…918bbacked Pelicans | 11c | 103.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…6e31backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Pelicans | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c00…af33backed Pelicans | 11c | 99.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pelicans | 11c | 97.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Pelicans | 11c | 91.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…ebdcbacked Pelicans | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…7d49backed Thunder | 80c | 67.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Pelicans | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.