NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ac4147da17156dd38ecdfaca197381c1938a7dfd1c0af2e3fdbb34e887eb405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Hawks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 61c | 11,155$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,769.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…b6ccbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…894bbacked Hawks | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 4,659$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.69 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 31c | 4,497$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.28 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 2,610$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 54c | 1,989$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.23 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hawks | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Hawks | 62c | 1,203$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,149$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Hawks | 65c | 1,136$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.94 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Hawks | 2c | 1,108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Hawks | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Hawks | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Hawks | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Hawks | 60c | 950.42$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 875.22$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.63 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked Hawks | 60c | 751.55$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…d659backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 675.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Hawks | 76c | 659.18$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks | 79c | 611.09$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…220cbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 548.45$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Hawks | 38c | 547.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 540$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hawks | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Hawks | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Hawks | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 484.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 476.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Hawks | 37c | 425.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 404.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Hawks | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 393$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.68 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hawks | 61c | 390.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Hawks | 45c | 355.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Hawks | 34c | 352.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 345.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 343.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 342.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 334.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Hawks | 72c | 326.94$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 319.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks | 14c | 317.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 313.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…35efbacked Hawks | 80c | 312.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 59c | 304.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Hawks | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 288.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…98d7backed Hawks | 59c | 278.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 254.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…f0ddbacked Hawks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 236.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 230.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Hawks | 64c | 204.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 194.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 189.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…51c6backed Hawks | 61c | 180.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…f2a1backed Hawks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…22c2backed Hawks | 22c | 159.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Hawks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Hawks | 80c | 142.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c932backed Hawks | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…33edbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Hawks | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0d…93e5backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…28d5backed Hawks | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b1e1backed Hawks | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…6b9ebacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…8d4fbacked Hawks | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…2aa8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 118.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Hawks | 41c | 115.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e51…0baebacked Hawks | 50c | 112.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…52d1backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…92e3backed Hawks | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…5b99backed Hawks | 80c | 109.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 101.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Hawks | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c7…adfabacked Hawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…f904backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…683abacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.