St. John's Red Storm vs. Georgetown Hoyas

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aeda9bbf2a05f8bd32d6aa5fee4859f15ce11ea5270ec49aed21adfd5778fe4

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Georgetown Hoyas
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde6d…0926backed Georgetown Hoyas	25c	7,814$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,958.32	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Georgetown Hoyas	22c	5,895$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.86	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm	78c	5,459$4,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.87	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed St. John's Red Storm	66c	4,049$2,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.84	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas	20c	3,595$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.17	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm	76c	2,929$2,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.38	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Georgetown Hoyas	9c	2,768$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.19	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d1…0bcdbacked Georgetown Hoyas	25c	2,467$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm	76c	1,952$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.9	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgetown Hoyas	17c	1,790$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.4	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked St. John's Red Storm	79c	1,280$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.9	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked St. John's Red Storm	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgetown Hoyas	25c	931.36$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.05	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked St. John's Red Storm	77c	775.87$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.95	250	43.2%108 W · 142 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. John's Red Storm	78c	536.96$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.91	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgetown Hoyas	17c	523.83$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.47	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm	76c	410.2$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.12	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Georgetown Hoyas	19c	400$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.61	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Georgetown Hoyas	38c	387.16$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.32	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Georgetown Hoyas	22c	380.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.63	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b5…10b0backed Georgetown Hoyas	32c	358.38$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed St. John's Red Storm	78c	353.85$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.85	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-13.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Georgetown Hoyas	28c	326.43$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.35	423	27.2%115 W · 308 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgetown Hoyas	23c	309.38$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Georgetown Hoyas	21c	298.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	490	43.1%211 W · 279 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Georgetown Hoyas	19c	282.3$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	383	43.6%167 W · 216 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Georgetown Hoyas	23c	280.77$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.13	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Georgetown Hoyas	24c	250$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Georgetown Hoyas	25c	231.08$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.79	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed St. John's Red Storm	75c	202.76$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.28per pick	44cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Georgetown Hoyas	9c	169.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Georgetown Hoyas	26c	157.21$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.72	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm	77c	152.27$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.02	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked St. John's Red Storm	61c	132.69$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.69	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked St. John's Red Storm	78c	128$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.16	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Georgetown Hoyas	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed St. John's Red Storm	76c	95$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	556	57.4%319 W · 237 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Georgetown Hoyas	22c	92.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…f354backed Georgetown Hoyas	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. John's Red Storm	75c	80.03$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.38	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Georgetown Hoyas	20c	72.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	378	35.7%135 W · 243 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Georgetown Hoyas	24c	70$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Georgetown Hoyas	24c	67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	1,074	47%505 W · 569 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Georgetown Hoyas	20c	65.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Georgetown Hoyas	20c	64.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Georgetown Hoyas	23c	61.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Georgetown Hoyas	17c	60.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-5.6wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08dd…c471backed Georgetown Hoyas	33c	59.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. John's Red Storm	63c	59.04$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.91	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed St. John's Red Storm	78c	38.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	49	87.8%43 W · 6 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	77cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm	76c	29$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb41…3c9bbacked St. John's Red Storm	72c	27.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed St. John's Red Storm	75c	18.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.67	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9672…e185backed St. John's Red Storm	76c	13.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

St. John's Red Storm vs. Georgetown Hoyas

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market