TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Kraken, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets60c2,111$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.571,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Jets56c1,973$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.496465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken32c1,472$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken45c1,293$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken3c1,179$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken33c1,094$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9332251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Jets67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Kraken1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Kraken41c899.76$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken40c690$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets63c649.83$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.441,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Jets66c546.4$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Jets65c408.09$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken33c306.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Jets50c263.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.327532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kraken42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10572448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken42c223.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets66c210$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken35c208.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets49c204.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6030…52ddbacked Jets68c184.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken32c155.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken32c154.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Jets59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.419347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Jets68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7737…22d7backed Kraken33c147.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jets68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.069861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Jets48c126.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.469554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Kraken49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Kraken41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken46c99.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Jets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Jets52c96.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.355337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken32c88.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Kraken33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6a…06b7backed Jets68c75.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Jets68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05fc…24e8backed Jets68c65.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…0c8abacked Jets68c57.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kraken33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7974…5ddcbacked Kraken34c44.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc517…05d4backed Kraken34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Jets61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4c…b380backed Jets68c38.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed Kraken34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac5…f936backed Jets66c34.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e78…b7a6backed Jets68c34.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a5…4d7bbacked Kraken32c34.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f3a0backed Kraken34c34.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x475b…ed1bbacked Jets66c34.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kraken34c33.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a5…47cfbacked Jets66c32.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a26…3865backed Kraken34c32.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad1…77d9backed Kraken33c32.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbd…be0cbacked Kraken33c31.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424c…2658backed Jets67c31.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d32…ce7dbacked Jets66c31.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b7…5825backed Kraken34c31.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d6…c808backed Kraken33c30.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1f…a928backed Jets67c30.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8265…bc9ebacked Jets66c30.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb2…12fbbacked Kraken34c30.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946a…2ba0backed Jets66c30.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Jets66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35334%18 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x984f…bbaabacked Jets66c30.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e73…1ddcbacked Kraken34c30.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Jets68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Jets52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Jets67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8512369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Jets67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854050%20 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a08…77e3backed Jets68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Jets68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.415453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc9…b71fbacked Jets66c27.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…2b5bbacked Jets68c27.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jets58c26.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…b859backed Jets66c25.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ab…bdd1backed Jets67c25.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1038…3cfcbacked Jets67c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…c775backed Jets67c21.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.195470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0124…100ebacked Jets66c21.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…8a8ebacked Jets68c19.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb071…a76ebacked Jets68c19.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca23…2354backed Jets67c18.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1130…6503backed Jets67c18.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ae…46d6backed Jets67c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…a926backed Jets66c18.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50a…1296backed Jets66c18.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc515…2179backed Jets66c17.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0926…57cabacked Jets67c17.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bb…5bc9backed Jets66c16.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.73366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9612…d42ebacked Jets67c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…f4eebacked Jets67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.953852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.