CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eSuba (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf0567fbeaf20424195ad25053bc7902db51327972d1b00a0ad20a88cb23297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof Misa Esports, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 6,573$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.26 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked eSuba | 58c | 1,627$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.34 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked eSuba | 57c | 899.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed eSuba | 60c | 834.1$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed eSuba | 59c | 721.92$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked eSuba | 58c | 720$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.75 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Misa Esports | 44c | 497.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked eSuba | 58c | 400$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Misa Esports | 40c | 340.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed eSuba | 55c | 314.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed eSuba | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…2e27backed Misa Esports | 44c | 246.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed eSuba | 57c | 232.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed eSuba | 57c | 207.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked eSuba | 58c | 203.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked eSuba | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…7427backed eSuba | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked eSuba | 61c | 160$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports | 42c | 155.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked eSuba | 57c | 147.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed eSuba | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…8155backed Misa Esports | 43c | 115.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed eSuba | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed eSuba | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed eSuba | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed eSuba | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed eSuba | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked eSuba | 58c | 58.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Misa Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked eSuba | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 44.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Misa Esports | 42c | 42.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 39.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked eSuba | 58c | 36.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Misa Esports | 43c | 34.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked eSuba | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed eSuba | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed eSuba | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked eSuba | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed eSuba | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eSuba (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffseSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnereSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.