CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d911c94405172d55516edf52ba2e7a4d040042433d86afecbefd5143ac5fb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 11,922$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.93 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Misa Esports | 63c | 3,043$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.52 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed eSuba | 37c | 2,800$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eSuba | 49c | 2,628$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Misa Esports | 68c | 1,794$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.66 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed eSuba | 53c | 1,526$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.25 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed eSuba | 48c | 1,218$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.24 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eSuba | 40c | 1,153$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSuba | 49c | 1,149$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked eSuba | 32c | 1,014$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.46 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked eSuba | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eSuba | 56c | 989.77$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 919.05$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.48 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eSuba | 40c | 807.48$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed eSuba | 42c | 774.69$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.32 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked eSuba | 37c | 752.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.72 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Misa Esports | 54c | 622.34$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.89 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked eSuba | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 67c | 541.43$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.86 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked eSuba | 39c | 421.24$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.96 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed eSuba | 37c | 390.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed eSuba | 44c | 331.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 321.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed eSuba | 53c | 321$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed eSuba | 58c | 314.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked eSuba | 52c | 296.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 287.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed eSuba | 39c | 284.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…974bbacked eSuba | 30c | 283$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked eSuba | 37c | 280$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports | 36c | 262.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed eSuba | 53c | 243.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 17c | 222.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed eSuba | 36c | 203.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked eSuba | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed eSuba | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Misa Esports | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked eSuba | 45c | 194.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked eSuba | 37c | 178.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked eSuba | 70c | 176.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 175.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed eSuba | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed eSuba | 39c | 164.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked eSuba | 39c | 160.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Misa Esports | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked eSuba | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed eSuba | 45c | 144.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…6da8backed eSuba | 36c | 137$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked eSuba | 39c | 127.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…3b9bbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed eSuba | 45c | 123.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked eSuba | 40c | 121.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked eSuba | 36c | 121.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed eSuba | 36c | 121.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed eSuba | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed eSuba | 31c | 103.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked eSuba | 35c | 102.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed eSuba | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked eSuba | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed eSuba | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed eSuba | 54c | 81.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Misa Esports | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed eSuba | 53c | 60.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked eSuba | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Misa Esports | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Misa Esports | 63c | 54.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Misa Esports | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Misa Esports | 50c | 49.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed eSuba | 44c | 42.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed eSuba | 59c | 42.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Misa Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 60c | 37.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed eSuba | 38c | 34.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked eSuba | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked eSuba | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 324 | 47.2%153 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked eSuba | 36c | 28.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked eSuba | 43c | 26.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Misa Esports | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked eSuba | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked eSuba | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…2535backed Misa Esports | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…5b64backed Misa Esports | 63c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Misa Esports | 61c | 20.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…95cbbacked eSuba | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Misa Esports | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Misa Esports | 63c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffseSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eSuba (+1.5)eSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.