Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c09d9eea46a46b75b241815a6dc56b04d424dc6bf47c185be97422f3b6050f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 45c | 2,109$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.36 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 2,003$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 1,624$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,360$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 935.81$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 33c | 688.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.08 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 626.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 54c | 302.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 67c | 298.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 45c | 292$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 40c | 267.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Yes | 53c | 239.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 50c | 222.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 60c | 220.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 54c | 183.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 47c | 171.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 59c | 169.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 40c | 152.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 45c | 151.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 45c | 131.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 47c | 105.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 58c | 85.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 59c | 85.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 80.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…6c08backed Yes | 54c | 69.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…a28ebacked Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 51c | 58.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 52.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…84d0backed No | 56c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 44c | 41.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…fac0backed Yes | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 58c | 36.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…973ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 46c | 32.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…39c3backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 47c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Nigeria leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.