Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Ena Shibahara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c390f51e74c468c5f5bcf835a1f4d7584e9bba0c79587dc9fa9019ce7cc8980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolehideof Dolehide, Shibahara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Shibahara | 62c | 12,407$7,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,651.84 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dolehide | 55c | 6,077$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shibahara | 23c | 5,968$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.86 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dolehide | 48c | 4,511$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shibahara | 51c | 3,686$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.06 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Shibahara | 47c | 2,207$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Dolehide | 58c | 946.55$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shibahara | 26c | 934.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Dolehide | 63c | 688.14$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dolehide | 43c | 661.01$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.47 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Shibahara | 46c | 645.11$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Dolehide | 65c | 616.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Dolehide | 62c | 579.74$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Dolehide | 68c | 524.44$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dolehide | 52c | 498$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shibahara | 38c | 494.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Shibahara | 39c | 473.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Dolehide | 49c | 422.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dolehide | 49c | 422.16$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shibahara | 31c | 419.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dolehide | 66c | 417.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Shibahara | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Dolehide | 59c | 339.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Dolehide | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Dolehide | 55c | 320.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shibahara | 38c | 309.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Shibahara | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shibahara | 37c | 295.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shibahara | 38c | 277$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Dolehide | 52c | 258.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shibahara | 25c | 225.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Shibahara | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Shibahara | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shibahara | 36c | 112.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shibahara | 20c | 112.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shibahara | 46c | 101.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Shibahara | 37c | 100.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dolehide | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Dolehide | 57c | 95.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Dolehide | 65c | 79.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Dolehide | 59c | 69.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dolehide | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Dolehide | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…2154backed Dolehide | 60c | 48.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shibahara | 37c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Dolehide | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Shibahara | 38c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shibahara | 57c | 40.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Dolehide | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shibahara | 44c | 33.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Dolehide | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Dolehide | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dolehide | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2a73backed Dolehide | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…caf2backed Dolehide | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.