MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d146ce1e1f5deb9ddd7578f6cf7b4da6af64edb5168b775e315dbbd1ae00c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 51c | 38,023$19,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,682.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 51c | 11,074$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rangers | 48c | 10,027$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.18 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 13c | 6,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 49c | 4,590$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ea32backed Athletics | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 49c | 1,824$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Athletics | 50c | 1,762$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 49c | 923$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.27 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Rangers | 61c | 903.23$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 47c | 890$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 50c | 878.56$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 48c | 833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rangers | 49c | 614.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rangers | 30c | 576.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Rangers | 50c | 316.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 49c | 244$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Rangers | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Rangers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Athletics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Rangers | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 51c | 53.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 50c | 39.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 48c | 31.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Athletics | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Rangers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked Rangers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.