TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Lukas Neumayer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lukas Neumayerof Michele Ribecai, Lukas Neumayer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Michele Ribecai21c17,505$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Michele Ribecai13c5,266$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.636,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Lukas Neumayer75c2,634$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.7746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lukas Neumayer56c2,570$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.362,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Michele Ribecai20c2,380$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Michele Ribecai6c1,965$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.181217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Michele Ribecai55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Michele Ribecai3c1,639$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.822,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer46c1,592$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Lukas Neumayer47c1,236$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.0841544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Lukas Neumayer57c1,151$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.2718651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Lukas Neumayer49c1,120$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4317357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Michele Ribecai43c1,113$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.021,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Michele Ribecai24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c4…7242backed Michele Ribecai25c799.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.948422.6%19 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Michele Ribecai52c780.53$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.791947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Michele Ribecai11c752.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8110860.2%65 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Michele Ribecai11c750.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0217656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Michele Ribecai51c655.71$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6450156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Michele Ribecai43c609.12$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4237235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Michele Ribecai26c584.09$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8658232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Michele Ribecai8c507.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.863420.6%7 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-59.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Michele Ribecai8c498.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.293517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Michele Ribecai50c497.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0732050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michele Ribecai38c485.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.887,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Lukas Neumayer52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer61c386.48$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Lukas Neumayer36c348.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3954547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Michele Ribecai52c344.9$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3723758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Michele Ribecai46c320.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.051,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Michele Ribecai26c264.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.087,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Michele Ribecai27c259.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.013,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Michele Ribecai39c253.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8384968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Lukas Neumayer78c215.43$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3643558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…bea7backed Michele Ribecai11c206.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.721315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Lukas Neumayer58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8427940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Michele Ribecai28c191.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5864537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Lukas Neumayer56c173.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.624443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Michele Ribecai56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3630555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Michele Ribecai56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3639955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Lukas Neumayer58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5927040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Lukas Neumayer64c158.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lukas Neumayer61c156.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.122,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Lukas Neumayer35c155.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2419443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Lukas Neumayer76c150.95$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7357953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Lukas Neumayer72c147.19$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lukas Neumayer50c145.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…5813backed Michele Ribecai27c143.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.283522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Michele Ribecai16c139.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Lukas Neumayer73c128.55$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Michele Ribecai16c126.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6140548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Lukas Neumayer61c115.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.014351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer65c110.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.79,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lukas Neumayer58c109.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.111,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Lukas Neumayer65c105.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0285250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Michele Ribecai24c102.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3935344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Lukas Neumayer74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Michele Ribecai46c97.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.951,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Lukas Neumayer49c96.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Michele Ribecai18c94.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6950644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Michele Ribecai13c90.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7130715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Michele Ribecai56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6857052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michele Ribecai24c81.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.523,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Lukas Neumayer48c70.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8465264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Michele Ribecai52c67.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9119153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Michele Ribecai28c66.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…d733backed Lukas Neumayer63c62.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.786152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Michele Ribecai28c61.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.466,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…9230backed Michele Ribecai43c60.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Lukas Neumayer58c59.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1545051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Michele Ribecai20c59.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.973,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Michele Ribecai36c54.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lukas Neumayer58c53.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.131,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Michele Ribecai28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Lukas Neumayer58c49.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a9…df8cbacked Lukas Neumayer57c49.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.345855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Lukas Neumayer57c48.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7838754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Lukas Neumayer42c44.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1512831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Michele Ribecai56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3433557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Lukas Neumayer72c40.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3188560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Lukas Neumayer73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9218166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Michele Ribecai46c37.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Lukas Neumayer79c37.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Lukas Neumayer64c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3854141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Michele Ribecai40c35.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.474742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Lukas Neumayer79c28.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0111779.5%93 W · 24 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Lukas Neumayer73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2834637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lukas Neumayer64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Lukas Neumayer65c22.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7422258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Lukas Neumayer68c21.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9210044%44 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Lukas Neumayer72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5188273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Lukas Neumayer58c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1912444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Michele Ribecai67c17.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8225265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Lukas Neumayer77c17.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.922,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb26d…039fbacked Lukas Neumayer73c15.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35170.6%36 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.