Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dec8fac7d37e7e8a1364f2889f5566fd13a58833f5ac42749328b95ace655c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 67c | 1,194$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.2 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 36c | 1,142$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.64 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 64c | 507.29$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 428.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 66c | 392$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.31 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 272.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 34c | 236.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 71c | 235.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 38c | 208.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 34c | 193.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 59c | 173.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 31c | 173.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 71c | 153.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 65c | 126.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 117.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 101.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 90.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 32c | 82.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 34c | 76.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Over | 44c | 68.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 19c | 66.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 53.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 67c | 51.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 79c | 38.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 62c | 29.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 62c | 24.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…577bbacked Under | 70c | 22.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)LNG Esports won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.