World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e417d7c9db310af7670e8ff3140e1cceb420ef482456b1e882df5811a396214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cc5…06cdbacked No | 6c | 2,459$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…7c39backed No | 7c | 1,309$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 17c | 1,163$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 50c | 610.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 66c | 599.09$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 3c | 592.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…45e5backed No | 68c | 342.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 59c | 330.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 305.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 8c | 301.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 299.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 274.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 9c | 252.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…b628backed No | 9c | 249.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 239.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 9c | 227.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 9c | 219.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 7c | 203.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 200.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 17c | 198.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 198.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 28c | 197$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 9c | 177.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 172.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 60c | 167.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 61c | 163.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 39c | 153.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 9c | 152.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 43c | 150.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 32c | 150.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 135.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 133.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 79c | 131.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 44c | 129.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 10c | 117.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 32c | 101.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 37c | 101.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…6453backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 45c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 13c | 82.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 40c | 75.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 31c | 74.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…73c1backed No | 15c | 70.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 69.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 31c | 59.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 24c | 58.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 65c | 58.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 42c | 54.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 67c | 52.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 79c | 50.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 49.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 48.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 29c | 48.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 71c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 45.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 30c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked No | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 37.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 68c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 37c | 34.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 33.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 58c | 33.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…4c8fbacked Yes | 31c | 31.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 53c | 30.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…07c5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed No | 70c | 22.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 77c | 22.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 67c | 21.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 67c | 19.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 70c | 19.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…76b3backed No | 79c | 17.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…08c5backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.