South American Leagues · resolved market
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4438f063fe3e69032443408e2e118618a84cf4a84af92ae1502d1907932078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 2,071$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 452.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 308.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 231$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 218.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 195.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +343.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 76c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Over | 73c | 32.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 48c | 28.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5this page
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.