Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f89e6a2395b80b917e3f0263040bb836da86b6118cf0c0f485e6bef538e4d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 3c | 845.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 30c | 240.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 234.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 184.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 58c | 173.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 73c | 138.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 76c | 129.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 36c | 128.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed No | 66c | 122.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 29c | 121.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 46c | 120.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 98.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Yes | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 35c | 93.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…c0f9backed Yes | 31c | 93.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 40c | 91.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 89.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 84.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…7f28backed Yes | 45c | 75.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 34c | 74.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…b10bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 68.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 66c | 63.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed No | 65c | 61.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 51c | 56.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 73c | 54.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 34c | 52.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 42c | 51.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…06d2backed Yes | 31c | 50.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 49.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 59c | 48.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 48.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 46c | 47.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed Yes | 33c | 45.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 28c | 45.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 55c | 44.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 28c | 44.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc705…b62fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 42.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 57c | 42.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 31c | 41.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked No | 70c | 40.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…63bebacked No | 68c | 39.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 37.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 65c | 36.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…2de4backed No | 56c | 35.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…931cbacked Yes | 47c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed No | 71c | 33.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 57c | 32.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 45c | 32.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 51c | 31.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…c353backed Yes | 46c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 35c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 53c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 63c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 28.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 65c | 25.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 69c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 57c | 23.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 72c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 67c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 59c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 66c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 66c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…6409backed No | 70c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.