Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f9291cacc6407a4d0b4634f0698a9ce83c570b8fdb3745a446d614f39c87312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 10,205$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.88 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 8,000$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 7,072$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 6,755$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 5,343$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.45 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Liquid | 68c | 3,072$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.69 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 79c | 2,443$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.82 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,430$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,371$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,308$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,191$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.21 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,168$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,160$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,134$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 808.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 76c | 803.82$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 700$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 615.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 605$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 589.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 511.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Team Liquid | 69c | 463.57$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 451.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 69c | 389.64$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…630dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 374.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Liquid | 76c | 362.12$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 78c | 284.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 275$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 201.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Liquid | 77c | 195.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 189.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 185.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Team Liquid | 79c | 170.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Team Liquid | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 168.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebb…1f99backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 166.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 159.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Liquid | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 127.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Team Liquid | 70c | 119.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 112.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 111.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 103.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Liquid | 77c | 102.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 70c | 99.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Team Liquid | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 80.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 72.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Team Liquid | 78c | 71.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…c013backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 56.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…d13cbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 43.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Team Liquid | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Liquid | 71c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Liquid | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.