MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb6f8f9b46fa7a2de7ae2f7bc762eadcb1144529bb62acff9d9cabf0113310a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 35c | 1,640$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,607$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,528$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.26 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,158$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 53c | 486.32$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 52c | 484.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 471.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 426.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 422.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 367.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 363.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 363.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 363.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 71c | 314.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 258.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 61c | 239.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 204.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 53c | 170.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 72c | 167.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 47c | 161.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 31c | 153.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 52c | 133$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 59c | 131.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 50c | 122.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b65…6b1bbacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 81.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…b8f4backed Under | 35c | 61.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 40c | 53.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 39c | 53.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 53.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 52.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 51c | 48.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 44.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 36c | 43.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Over | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 38.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 54c | 36.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Over | 48c | 31.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 29.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 46c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2072backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 46c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 22.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 48c | 21.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.