MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x603cd87b5aae92795bb8f0d2bcbc664f7178aae1fa6e852647340da178d18832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed NC Dinos | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 776.69$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 720.12$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.67 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed NC Dinos | 59c | 667.34$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 188.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked NC Dinos | 60c | 167.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed NC Dinos | 37c | 140.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NC Dinos | 58c | 123.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 80c | 117$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed NC Dinos | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed NC Dinos | 61c | 103.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed NC Dinos | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 92.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 89.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed NC Dinos | 59c | 75.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 75.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…02c3backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 73.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 72.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 68.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 67.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 66.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 64.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 56c | 63.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Lotte Giants | 68c | 57.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NC Dinos | 52c | 48.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 46.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…bf5abacked NC Dinos | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 39.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 37.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 37.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 48c | 35.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 34.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…e700backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 26.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…f050backed NC Dinos | 62c | 26.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 25.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed NC Dinos | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…9e57backed NC Dinos | 51c | 20.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed NC Dinos | 59c | 19.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.