Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a67731d9f9cc35aa0d1ac1d72cf9bab6b84c2ba5c0661fc5dd41dbe0e3884b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 2,494$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 798.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.84 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 77c | 652.94$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 558.81$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 79c | 486$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 452.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 410.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 364$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 253.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 19c | 218$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 211.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 19c | 210.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 80c | 168$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 80c | 167.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 159.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 23c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 20c | 125.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 48c | 124.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 22c | 99.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 78c | 97.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 56c | 93.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 86.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 45c | 65.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 56c | 59.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 21c | 57.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 33.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 44c | 26.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 58c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Europa FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.