South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d96885e73efa006c39ffefcc5299757983b34449f5da95ef6eda5edfdc288c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 55c | 3,938$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,841$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.86 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 1,973$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.55 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 1,318$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,174$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 802.76$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.59 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 56c | 523.14$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 443$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes | 63c | 402$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 355.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 335.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 48c | 326.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 44c | 233.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 44c | 233.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 45c | 223.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 217.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 191.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 55c | 179.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 178.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed No | 40c | 148.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 112$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 110.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 44c | 103.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 60c | 100.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 56c | 89.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 86.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 44c | 72.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 47.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 48c | 36.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Yes | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 45c | 27.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Montevideo City Torque won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.