Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Daria Zelinskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f64039fe31cec51776d3693ddca995ee3093c417aa830d2b78a3c68fa823ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Zelinskayaof Asylzhan Arystanbekova, Daria Zelinskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Daria Zelinskaya | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 65c | 7,471$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 53c | 7,257$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.45 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Zelinskaya | 52c | 5,943$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 10c | 1,542$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 74c | 1,018$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 65c | 782$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.9 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 71c | 640.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Daria Zelinskaya | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Daria Zelinskaya | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Zelinskaya | 79c | 422.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 74c | 389.64$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 17c | 305.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Daria Zelinskaya | 42c | 295.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 70c | 276.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Daria Zelinskaya | 73c | 272.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 70c | 246.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Daria Zelinskaya | 68c | 242.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 70c | 230.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 36c | 210.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daria Zelinskaya | 62c | 195.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 25c | 185.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 45c | 178.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 67c | 154$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 55c | 144.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 49c | 144.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 50c | 139.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daria Zelinskaya | 68c | 120.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 70c | 110.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 63c | 100.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 59c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Daria Zelinskaya | 55c | 97.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 25c | 93.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…9be9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 38c | 69.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Daria Zelinskaya | 51c | 55.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 74c | 54.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 72c | 47.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 29c | 44.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 37c | 40.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 64c | 31.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 60c | 28.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Daria Zelinskaya | 64c | 25.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 44c | 25.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Daria Zelinskaya | 76c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.