Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Ioannis Xilas vs Michele Ribecai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fbbdf2d9512a929f1cc29c0ccb1ba5292dddf2ba2ceefe80979938661b6ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michele Ribecaiof Ioannis Xilas, Michele Ribecai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ioannis Xilas | 32c | 2,322$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Ioannis Xilas | 4c | 1,699$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Michele Ribecai | 73c | 1,588$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.42 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ioannis Xilas | 24c | 1,398$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 932.5$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 5c | 804$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 518.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Michele Ribecai | 63c | 467$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 288.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 271.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 270.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Michele Ribecai | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Ioannis Xilas | 40c | 250.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Ioannis Xilas | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ioannis Xilas | 28c | 234.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Ioannis Xilas | 32c | 232.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Michele Ribecai | 68c | 219.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Michele Ribecai | 61c | 218.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Michele Ribecai | 73c | 212.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Ioannis Xilas | 30c | 200.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Michele Ribecai | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ioannis Xilas | 30c | 152.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Michele Ribecai | 67c | 148.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Ioannis Xilas | 22c | 138.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Ioannis Xilas | 28c | 137.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michele Ribecai | 75c | 136.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Ioannis Xilas | 36c | 124.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Ioannis Xilas | 32c | 107.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 107.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 33c | 104.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Michele Ribecai | 72c | 102.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ioannis Xilas | 22c | 101.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Michele Ribecai | 71c | 100.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Michele Ribecai | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ioannis Xilas | 13c | 80.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…99dbbacked Ioannis Xilas | 31c | 76.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 74.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 68.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 63.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Michele Ribecai | 71c | 62.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ioannis Xilas | 25c | 57.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…cb64backed Michele Ribecai | 79c | 56.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Ioannis Xilas | 29c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed Ioannis Xilas | 30c | 43.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 41.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Michele Ribecai | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Ioannis Xilas | 31c | 34.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Michele Ribecai | 71c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Michele Ribecai | 68c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michele Ribecai | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Ioannis Xilas | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…f1e6backed Michele Ribecai | 68c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Michele Ribecai | 76c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.