Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61430857fd677fcbbd789c345f5c97cffce32d5b2e2f61e348052f780b98afcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ofek Shimanovof Ofek Shimanov, Devin Badenhorst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ofek Shimanov | 44c | 2,130$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Ofek Shimanov | 21c | 1,877$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.81 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Devin Badenhorst | 25c | 1,866$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.42 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Devin Badenhorst | 70c | 923.51$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.52 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 52c | 699.21$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ofek Shimanov | 26c | 615.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.09 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Ofek Shimanov | 55c | 488$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 413$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devin Badenhorst | 74c | 363.92$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ofek Shimanov | 66c | 246.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Devin Badenhorst | 75c | 184.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Devin Badenhorst | 54c | 122.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 31c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ofek Shimanov | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devin Badenhorst | 11c | 93.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Devin Badenhorst | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Devin Badenhorst | 38c | 48.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ofek Shimanov | 27c | 39.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Devin Badenhorst | 73c | 29.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Devin Badenhorst | 73c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Devin Badenhorst | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.