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NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Flames48c5,114$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.9923642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah48c3,348$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.1435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Utah49c2,650$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.4531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Flames48c1,550$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.452347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah52c1,243$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.511,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah51c853.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.241,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flames50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Flames48c469$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.125347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flames48c429.83$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Flames67c417.29$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Utah52c320.87$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2141851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Flames4c311.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.897450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah52c284.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah52c277.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3747249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah51c254.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames25c224.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5445…6cd6backed Flames49c214.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…cf3fbacked Utah53c214.19$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f6…a05cbacked Utah51c213.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…23cabacked Flames51c213.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65a…65adbacked Flames49c212.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2187…088dbacked Utah52c212.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…e50fbacked Flames49c210.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x111d…8791backed Utah53c210.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4378…6da7backed Flames51c208.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…88f5backed Utah50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd94f…5bc7backed Flames51c206.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…0201backed Flames51c206.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x178b…2eedbacked Utah50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…1165backed Utah50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17a2…71a0backed Utah50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e0…59c4backed Utah50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3afd…67f8backed Flames51c204$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…1179backed Utah50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b4…75dabacked Flames51c203.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10c…6f3cbacked Flames51c203.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414f…3b5ebacked Utah51c202.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ca…a657backed Flames51c202.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…4d8cbacked Flames51c202.16$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7394…58b7backed Utah50c202.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c4b…f651backed Utah51c201.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6f…8d9cbacked Flames51c201.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Flames50c201.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6220540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Flames51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Flames48c191.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.835347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah45c154.42$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Flames42c153.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Utah50c130.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Flames46c120.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.249153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flames49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Utah55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5513241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Flames45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.556465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Utah53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3413562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d44…6fbabacked Flames51c88.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Flames43c86.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2413846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bf…5a91backed Utah58c86.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…6c1abacked Utah57c84.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Flames44c81.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.892142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd47a…8b38backed Utah54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a0…10b8backed Utah52c75.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ae…3019backed Utah54c69.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d78…fb38backed Flames49c62.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64b…ff2dbacked Utah51c61.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58b…ff75backed Utah51c54.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Utah52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05d…2776backed Utah50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Flames49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd5…69e9backed Flames49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0414…41c4backed Utah50c46.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb283…0ef1backed Flames46c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…0f3abacked Flames43c46.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a9f…7dacbacked Flames49c46.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf556…8f82backed Flames49c45.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f99…9b86backed Utah51c45.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…b077backed Flames49c45.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38d…6c36backed Flames48c45.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x754c…2435backed Utah57c44.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e17…8a59backed Flames43c44.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b6…77cabacked Flames44c44.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9261…8f02backed Utah50c44.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Flames42c44.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.547350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d75…c127backed Utah50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…13fabacked Flames43c43.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x690a…86f6backed Flames49c42.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf325…163bbacked Utah51c42.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xced2…4e24backed Utah50c41.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37e…cb9bbacked Flames50c41.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Flames45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb715…8300backed Flames49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…8a19backed Flames48c40.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb9…c31abacked Flames50c40.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5283…1a3cbacked Utah50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9b…cc5abacked Flames43c39.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…3a78backed Utah49c39.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cd…e530backed Utah53c39.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x340b…7629backed Flames51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f6…3534backed Utah51c39.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.