Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6262d00f014639f984fc9b29c39e6a88622f7f260f28895e2a2f497d2b74228a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Pedro Boscardin Dias, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 11c | 7,831$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.66 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jan Choinski | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 22c | 1,794$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 11c | 1,220$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 33c | 999.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 31c | 844.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.89 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 652.18$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Jan Choinski | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jan Choinski | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 31c | 444.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 285.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Jan Choinski | 78c | 281.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 174.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 18c | 166.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 158.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 28c | 145.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 26c | 133.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 12c | 97.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Boscardin Dias | 18c | 91.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 90.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 34c | 88.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Jan Choinski | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jan Choinski | 74c | 33.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias | 32c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.