Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Shiho Tsujioka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626c28883cd128e71a6d09bb80abf4f83df031370fd3c4566d73c41cb3c6058e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiho Tsujiokaof Shihomi Li Xuan Leong, Shiho Tsujioka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x589c…0dd9backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Shiho Tsujioka | 70c | 3,912$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.48 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 30c | 3,455$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 1,911$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.71 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 1,296$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shiho Tsujioka | 67c | 1,117$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 1,002$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shiho Tsujioka | 71c | 972.56$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shiho Tsujioka | 61c | 956.19$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shiho Tsujioka | 55c | 522.31$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shiho Tsujioka | 62c | 514.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 63c | 327.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Shiho Tsujioka | 74c | 289.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shiho Tsujioka | 67c | 241$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 226.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 35c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 31c | 162.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Shiho Tsujioka | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Shiho Tsujioka | 43c | 129.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 33c | 113.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 107.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Shiho Tsujioka | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Shiho Tsujioka | 64c | 64.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 32c | 64.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shiho Tsujioka | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 31c | 52.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 35c | 51.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Shiho Tsujioka | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shiho Tsujioka | 44c | 46.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 31c | 44.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 44c | 44.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 38c | 38.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shiho Tsujioka | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…f7f9backed Shiho Tsujioka | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Shiho Tsujioka | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Shiho Tsujioka | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Shiho Tsujioka | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.