TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,140 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c9,007$5,625 inWon+$3,381.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c3,335$467 inLost-$466.93,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes53c3,200$1,696 inLost-$1,69646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes40c1,270$508 inLost-$507.8819742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No60c1,000$600 inWon+$40021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes40c934.73$374 inLost-$373.9775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c618.52$367 inWon+$251.411,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c470$371 inWon+$98.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes41c371.61$152 inLost-$152.367843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$202520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No60c137.6$82 inWon+$55.155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes39c128.95$50 inLost-$50.292,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c114.24$45 inLost-$45.411,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No58c109.23$63 inWon+$45.8818050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No51c53.64$27 inWon+$26.560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No51c52.29$26 inWon+$25.8319349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No78c50.97$40 inWon+$11.312662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No58c41.69$24 inWon+$17.5172350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No47c39.64$19 inWon+$20.8295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed No67c30.1$20 inWon+$10.0811944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No47c30.07$14 inWon+$15.8941262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No71c29.58$21 inWon+$8.5533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes41c25.39$10 inLost-$10.414850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.