South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5f8cfa361922bdd46d035a037cb2a46b5f85a3d2993d256f6f261d481bbfe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 58c | 34,575$20,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,516.06 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 42c | 18,113$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.25 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 8,871$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 2c | 8,474$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 2,833$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,926$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.83 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 60c | 1,814$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.66 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 3c | 1,800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 40c | 1,638$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.37 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 3c | 1,563$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 23c | 1,342$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.58 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,290$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 2c | 1,006$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,002$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 32c | 962.41$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 4c | 711.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 672.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 42c | 661.03$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 23c | 535.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 41c | 482.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 35c | 428.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.29 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 18c | 387.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 334$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…5b39backed Over | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 39c | 173.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 167.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 40c | 163.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 67c | 146.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 14c | 120.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 40c | 89.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 28c | 86.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 70.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 32c | 69.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 40c | 59.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…c2d4backed Over | 59c | 57.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 56.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 40c | 49.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 42.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 60c | 36.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…383dbacked Over | 34c | 34.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Over | 56c | 33.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 67c | 32.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 49c | 25.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…da12backed Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Under | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.