South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4bd1792e4483325bc5d7543bb414efacfd7604ce26ad9b581bc8d75c2e010ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 4,755$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 4,607$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 4,136$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 3,732$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.49 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 30c | 3,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 68c | 994.81$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 880.51$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 32c | 861$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 68c | 599.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 37c | 518.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 432.4$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 70c | 431.88$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 25c | 408$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 389.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 69c | 344.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 319.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 267$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 32c | 196.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 177.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 177.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 69c | 163.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 161.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 148.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 30c | 143.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 28c | 94.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 76.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 31c | 70.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 31c | 65.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 45.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Over | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 27.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 70c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…817bbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 70c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.