MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62dad929cbb983e5720beb80339d33a3b694cd37d82bcb4b998fb332d95e2ba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Lotte Giants, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 870.52$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.26 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Lotte Giants | 72c | 690.45$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.19 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 39c | 551.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 438.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked NC Dinos | 69c | 434.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 415.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 301.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed NC Dinos | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 236.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 229.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 228.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 206.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos | 68c | 176.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NC Dinos | 32c | 167.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 69c | 159$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 64c | 113.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 102.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 99.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 97.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 91.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NC Dinos | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 87.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 68c | 81.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 80.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 79.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 61.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 61.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed NC Dinos | 38c | 57.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NC Dinos | 59c | 53.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed NC Dinos | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 39.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked NC Dinos | 68c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos | 69c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…cc55backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…f807backed NC Dinos | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked NC Dinos | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed NC Dinos | 57c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.