Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630d5532bb288d6fb2011628c6a5b8bbcd5cb1c9e30386af0dadad3990ee4e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Siena Saints, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 3,788$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Siena Saints | 25c | 2,941$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 26c | 2,908$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siena Saints | 47c | 2,422$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Siena Saints | 12c | 1,705$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iona Gaels | 52c | 1,617$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Siena Saints | 40c | 1,413$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Siena Saints | 50c | 1,094$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.55 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints | 46c | 1,073$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Iona Gaels | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.65 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels | 67c | 989.62$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Siena Saints | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Siena Saints | 45c | 832.1$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Siena Saints | 29c | 727.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siena Saints | 42c | 526.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels | 51c | 503.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Siena Saints | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Iona Gaels | 67c | 343.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels | 72c | 315.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Siena Saints | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Siena Saints | 41c | 231.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Siena Saints | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 200.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Siena Saints | 33c | 173.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Iona Gaels | 74c | 134.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Iona Gaels | 78c | 125.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Siena Saints | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 98.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iona Gaels | 49c | 98.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…9d4dbacked Iona Gaels | 75c | 92.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Siena Saints | 26c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…07f5backed Siena Saints | 29c | 82.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Siena Saints | 49c | 66.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siena Saints | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Siena Saints | 18c | 59.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 55.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Siena Saints | 26c | 48.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iona Gaels | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 50c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Siena Saints | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Siena Saints | 48c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Siena Saints | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Iona Gaels | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…d269backed Iona Gaels | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Iona Gaels | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.