Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Kasra Rahmani vs Alexander Weis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6486c69162b844258f3d9bb73a5b225991661e9a1e574858c8b0e7b24dd52f38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Weisof Kasra Rahmani, Alexander Weis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Alexander Weis | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.67 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kasra Rahmani | 32c | 1,350$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alexander Weis | 53c | 1,181$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.56 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kasra Rahmani | 49c | 980.35$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.37 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kasra Rahmani | 35c | 587.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kasra Rahmani | 32c | 274.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Kasra Rahmani | 45c | 221.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Alexander Weis | 69c | 142.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Alexander Weis | 72c | 111.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kasra Rahmani | 33c | 98.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Kasra Rahmani | 35c | 91.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Alexander Weis | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Kasra Rahmani | 18c | 79.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kasra Rahmani | 28c | 74.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Kasra Rahmani | 54c | 72.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kasra Rahmani | 37c | 70.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Alexander Weis | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 314 | 52.9%166 W · 148 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Alexander Weis | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 328 | 56.7%186 W · 142 L | +21.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kasra Rahmani | 35c | 41.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Alexander Weis | 41c | 33.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 532 | 55.5%295 W · 237 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Alexander Weis | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Kasra Rahmani | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alexander Weis | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Kasra Rahmani vs Alexander Weisthis page
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Completed Match: Kasra Rahmani vs Alexander WeisYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.