Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Thomas Fancutt vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648f52585d7fe6604b9d4e07f1dbdcd7f4f4b2fd36fa76e584bf5e71751697a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karl Polingof Thomas Fancutt, Karl Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thomas Fancutt | 6c | 18,160$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.65 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thomas Fancutt | 26c | 12,754$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.44 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thomas Fancutt | 4c | 4,488$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Karl Poling | 48c | 4,000$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 664 | 44.6%296 W · 368 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thomas Fancutt | 8c | 3,050$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thomas Fancutt | 7c | 2,478$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Thomas Fancutt | 7c | 2,004$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thomas Fancutt | 12c | 1,554$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thomas Fancutt | 5c | 1,247$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Thomas Fancutt | 13c | 974.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thomas Fancutt | 6c | 904.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Thomas Fancutt | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Thomas Fancutt | 6c | 558.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Thomas Fancutt | 10c | 499.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thomas Fancutt | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 924 | 48.7%450 W · 474 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Karl Poling | 37c | 345.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Thomas Fancutt | 7c | 252$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Thomas Fancutt | 15c | 189.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Thomas Fancutt | 8c | 178$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Karl Poling | 54c | 169.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Karl Poling | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Karl Poling | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Karl Poling | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Karl Poling | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Karl Poling | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Thomas Fancutt | 22c | 108.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Thomas Fancutt | 25c | 97.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Thomas Fancutt | 42c | 97.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Thomas Fancutt | 18c | 89.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Karl Poling | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Karl Poling | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karl Poling | 48c | 83.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Karl Poling | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Thomas Fancutt | 21c | 74.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karl Poling | 21c | 67.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Karl Poling | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Karl Poling | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Karl Poling | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Thomas Fancutt | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Thomas Fancutt | 62c | 33.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Thomas Fancutt | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Karl Poling | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Thomas Fancutt | 53c | 26.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thomas Fancutt | 43c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Karl Poling | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 406 | 61.3%249 W · 157 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Thomas Fancutt | 64c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.