NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649da77fb83082fc07e599f571454c1ccb0c4e2579cd7da0ea7287aed0b03006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Mavericks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 17c | 13,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…1a08backed Mavericks | 16c | 10,049$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…29babacked Mavericks | 16c | 10,046$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…2682backed Mavericks | 16c | 10,036$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…bf65backed Mavericks | 16c | 10,031$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…d984backed Mavericks | 16c | 10,014$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks | 17c | 8,354$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.2 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks | 1c | 6,940$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks | 14c | 4,511$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 3,979$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 3,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Mavericks | 15c | 3,121$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.1 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Mavericks | 15c | 2,800$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,168$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,022$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 14c | 892.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 16c | 799.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks | 16c | 627.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Mavericks | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Mavericks | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Mavericks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 9c | 550$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 18c | 486.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Mavericks | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…3ee3backed Mavericks | 17c | 423.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 418.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mavericks | 16c | 409.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Mavericks | 16c | 314.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Mavericks | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Mavericks | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Mavericks | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Mavericks | 15c | 208.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Mavericks | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Mavericks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Mavericks | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…bb27backed Mavericks | 15c | 177.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Mavericks | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…90e8backed Mavericks | 16c | 159.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c60dbacked Mavericks | 16c | 157.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Mavericks | 15c | 153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mavericks | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked Rockets | 79c | 146.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Mavericks | 18c | 144.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Mavericks | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Mavericks | 12c | 126.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Mavericks | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Mavericks | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…25d2backed Mavericks | 16c | 122.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…f177backed Mavericks | 16c | 120.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…e235backed Mavericks | 15c | 119.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…c104backed Mavericks | 16c | 113.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…3464backed Mavericks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mavericks | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Mavericks | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…6065backed Mavericks | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Mavericks | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Mavericks | 16c | 67.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Mavericks | 16c | 67.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Mavericks | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…6d11backed Mavericks | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Rockets | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.