Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Pitesti Men: Sebastian Gima vs Francesco Ferrari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c030045994af49c6fa2888855893083afa9b81523f13136f0494ceb16e180b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Ferrariof Sebastian Gima, Francesco Ferrari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sebastian Gima | 63c | 12,451$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,827.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Ferrari | 38c | 8,567$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.21 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Francesco Ferrari | 36c | 1,894$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Francesco Ferrari | 42c | 883.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Francesco Ferrari | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Sebastian Gima | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Francesco Ferrari | 51c | 296.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Francesco Ferrari | 54c | 272.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Francesco Ferrari | 36c | 219.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Sebastian Gima | 46c | 136.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 1,085 | 49.9%541 W · 544 L | +47.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Francesco Ferrari | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesco Ferrari | 65c | 107.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Francesco Ferrari | 32c | 106.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Gima | 57c | 102.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Sebastian Gima | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Sebastian Gima | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Francesco Ferrari | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 967 | 55.9%541 W · 426 L | +21.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Francesco Ferrari | 40c | 89.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Francesco Ferrari | 28c | 69.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Francesco Ferrari | 35c | 68.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 483 | 51.3%248 W · 235 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Sebastian Gima | 47c | 64.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 35.9%187 W · 334 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Francesco Ferrari | 30c | 61.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Francesco Ferrari | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sebastian Gima | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Francesco Ferrari | 30c | 59.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sebastian Gima | 44c | 53.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Francesco Ferrari | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Sebastian Gima | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sebastian Gima | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Francesco Ferrari | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Francesco Ferrari | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Francesco Ferrari | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Sebastian Gima | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sebastian Gima | 41c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Sebastian Gima | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Francesco Ferrari | 55c | 31.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Francesco Ferrari | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Francesco Ferrari | 55c | 29.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Gima | 49c | 29.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Sebastian Gima | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesco Ferrari | 54c | 25.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sebastian Gima | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Sebastian Gima | 71c | 23.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Francesco Ferrari | 59c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 924 | 63.9%590 W · 334 L | +65.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Francesco Ferrari | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.