Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Darya Velikova vs Iva Ivanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665f05693b89a9148d10abeb1e13a37966f71b7020ac8dbde049b064ce644b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iva Ivanovicof Darya Velikova, Iva Ivanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Darya Velikova | 27c | 12,598$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.43 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Iva Ivanovic | 77c | 3,702$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.24 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iva Ivanovic | 66c | 2,851$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.14 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Iva Ivanovic | 72c | 2,630$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.42 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iva Ivanovic | 69c | 2,090$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.24 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Iva Ivanovic | 68c | 1,847$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.38 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iva Ivanovic | 73c | 1,416$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Darya Velikova | 33c | 1,268$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Darya Velikova | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Iva Ivanovic | 72c | 956$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Iva Ivanovic | 75c | 767.08$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iva Ivanovic | 72c | 696.79$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darya Velikova | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Darya Velikova | 30c | 547.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Darya Velikova | 40c | 433.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iva Ivanovic | 71c | 421$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Darya Velikova | 27c | 352.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Darya Velikova | 12c | 269.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Darya Velikova | 30c | 266.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iva Ivanovic | 76c | 251.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Iva Ivanovic | 69c | 246.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Iva Ivanovic | 73c | 170.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Darya Velikova | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Iva Ivanovic | 64c | 135.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Darya Velikova | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Darya Velikova | 23c | 125.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Darya Velikova | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Darya Velikova | 27c | 94.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Iva Ivanovic | 69c | 82.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Darya Velikova | 33c | 76.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Iva Ivanovic | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Iva Ivanovic | 67c | 56.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Darya Velikova | 35c | 50.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Darya Velikova | 25c | 42.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Darya Velikova | 30c | 33.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Iva Ivanovic | 67c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…7141backed Iva Ivanovic | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Darya Velikova vs Iva Ivanovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Velikova vs IvanovicIvanovic won
- Velikova vs. Ivanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Velikova vs. Ivanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.