Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6727f7f15d2b8ea1f006316669329f60dd0ab606804001e1dbca2dbd9b2dfa5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 30c | 3,695$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.09 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 803.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 79c | 462.92$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 28c | 435.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 72c | 421.66$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 74c | 419$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 408$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 325.84$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 26c | 299.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…b0c7backed Yes | 35c | 267.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 255.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 244.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 74c | 231.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 222.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 77c | 214.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 205$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 72c | 198$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 178.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 136.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 121.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 76c | 119.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 257 | 84.4%217 W · 40 L | +30.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 105.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…d03cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…8700backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…d814backed Yes | 35c | 99.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 85.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 78.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…b787backed Yes | 22c | 73.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 64c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 68.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 32c | 64.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…fb01backed No | 76c | 52.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 66c | 52.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…f87bbacked No | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 23c | 50.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 66c | 47.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 45.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…f1f5backed Yes | 23c | 44.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 67c | 40.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…cb85backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 38.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 38.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…d8bebacked No | 78c | 37.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 70c | 34.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 73c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…7227backed Yes | 30c | 33.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 74c | 29.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 42c | 29.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 68c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…3b38backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 124 | 73.4%91 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 72c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…253ebacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 74cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 74c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 74c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 57c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 75c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…7fd5backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…2f62backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…65abbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 338 | 76.6%259 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 78cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 70c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 69c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.