TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Jacksonville Dolphins, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins17c3,111$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins25c1,089$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.121,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c659.46$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.171,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins26c647.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.563,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2cc…5a59backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles65c469.62$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles75c443.01$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville Dolphins18c441.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.982,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c351.07$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins10c301.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.471,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville Dolphins25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins27c274.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.91,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville Dolphins28c260$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.591,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles72c252$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.342,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jacksonville Dolphins24c235$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville Dolphins32c227.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.821,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Jacksonville Dolphins19c212.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1370936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville Dolphins26c210.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.944,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville Dolphins27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacksonville Dolphins26c196.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Jacksonville Dolphins29c189.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville Dolphins17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.211,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c168$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.366342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Jacksonville Dolphins26c143.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2842339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c126.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.697540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins10c101.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2493941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins26c99.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles71c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c59.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins24c58.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jacksonville Dolphins27c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles78c52.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.563865.8%25 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins19c51.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jacksonville Dolphins30c47.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins28c40.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.352540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Jacksonville Dolphins27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.329849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles75c22.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles73c21.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6914171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.341,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.