CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67696f52acf852b0c4076414c2e1f15e508eee146d663e6c5f5f549ea7940891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HAVU | 20c | 7,941$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 65c | 6,583$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 80c | 4,528$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Leo Team | 64c | 3,861$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.57 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leo Team | 78c | 2,178$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.43 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HAVU | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Leo Team | 78c | 1,790$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed HAVU | 36c | 1,621$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed HAVU | 36c | 1,281$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…05f6backed HAVU | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 26c | 1,073$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HAVU | 26c | 979.58$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HAVU | 34c | 857.58$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HAVU | 10c | 807.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HAVU | 22c | 806.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed HAVU | 36c | 799.94$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed HAVU | 19c | 758.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HAVU | 36c | 689.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HAVU | 20c | 666.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 73c | 633.97$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed HAVU | 26c | 607.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed HAVU | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Leo Team | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed HAVU | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HAVU | 13c | 417.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HAVU | 18c | 383.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked HAVU | 35c | 355.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed HAVU | 18c | 349.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed HAVU | 36c | 346.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed HAVU | 36c | 339.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 69c | 336.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 74c | 320$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Leo Team | 65c | 318.28$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed HAVU | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked HAVU | 35c | 279.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed HAVU | 35c | 246.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…abb3backed HAVU | 31c | 228.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 19c | 212.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked HAVU | 6c | 199.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked HAVU | 35c | 172.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed HAVU | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed HAVU | 35c | 158$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HAVU | 34c | 154.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Leo Team | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed HAVU | 35c | 144.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Leo Team | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Leo Team | 79c | 137.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 75c | 130.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Leo Team | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 77c | 119.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HAVU | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked HAVU | 25c | 102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 25c | 101.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed HAVU | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Leo Team | 61c | 99.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed HAVU | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Leo Team | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Leo Team | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Leo Team | 66c | 69.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed Leo Team | 73c | 68.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HAVU | 24c | 59.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Leo Team | 65c | 59.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ddbcbacked Leo Team | 80c | 52.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Leo Team | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Leo Team | 65c | 47.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…c9d4backed Leo Team | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked HAVU | 35c | 39.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked HAVU | 36c | 38.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 71c | 31.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…0f68backed Leo Team | 67c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leo Team | 57c | 26.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…c622backed Leo Team | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Leo Team | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Leo Team | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…6ff2backed Leo Team | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Leo Team | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.