Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x682c174c18d4565f2212383c26dffc66ee2bae477856e69401a487e7764d5481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Lehecka, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,012,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 317,946$174,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,331 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lehecka | 44c | 159,083$69,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,996.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lehecka | 44c | 32,168$14,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,297.05 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lehecka | 44c | 4,190$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.87 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lehecka | 49c | 4,059$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.84 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lehecka | 0c | 3,723$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Lehecka | 48c | 3,482$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.52 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lehecka | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lehecka | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 2,658$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Lehecka | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lehecka | 42c | 2,124$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lehecka | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Lehecka | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lehecka | 45c | 1,657$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.67 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Auger-Aliassime | 77c | 1,550$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 1,088$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Lehecka | 25c | 1,017$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lehecka | 47c | 748.3$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Lehecka | 58c | 739.8$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.21 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lehecka | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 43c | 725.5$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lehecka | 50c | 667.55$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.05 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Lehecka | 44c | 639$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.11 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Lehecka | 36c | 632.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Lehecka | 51c | 574.44$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 566.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lehecka | 45c | 556$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lehecka | 50c | 545.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 537.01$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Lehecka | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 485.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Lehecka | 50c | 478.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Lehecka | 37c | 456.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lehecka | 48c | 408.18$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…2f1cbacked Lehecka | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lehecka | 32c | 338.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked Lehecka | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehecka | 48c | 287$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lehecka | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Lehecka | 13c | 213.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Lehecka | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lehecka | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Lehecka | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Lehecka | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Lehecka | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…0522backed Lehecka | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 199.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Lehecka | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lehecka | 22c | 158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Lehecka | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Lehecka | 42c | 142.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Lehecka | 46c | 128.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Lehecka | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lehecka | 46c | 102.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…721cbacked Lehecka | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 95.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…69fabacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lehecka | 46c | 91.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Lehecka | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Lehecka | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Lehecka | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Lehecka | 20c | 69.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Lehecka | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 46.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Lehecka | 42c | 42.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…0b56backed Lehecka | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Lehecka | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Lehecka | 47c | 35.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…5cb9backed Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.