Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Billy Suarez vs Mitchell Sheldon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6840dc209caf5f8725bde350a189a42a24f7b01117b4a055d18a5e3cda833fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mitchell Sheldonof Billy Suarez, Mitchell Sheldon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Billy Suarez | 6c | 13,314$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.74 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Billy Suarez | 17c | 11,816$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.71 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Mitchell Sheldon | 73c | 5,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.87 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Billy Suarez | 25c | 2,189$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Billy Suarez | 67c | 2,024$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.38 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mitchell Sheldon | 77c | 1,951$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Billy Suarez | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Billy Suarez | 13c | 1,347$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 32c | 1,014$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.11 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Mitchell Sheldon | 71c | 703.07$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Billy Suarez | 16c | 625.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mitchell Sheldon | 72c | 603.07$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Billy Suarez | 17c | 310$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mitchell Sheldon | 35c | 220$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mitchell Sheldon | 33c | 154.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mitchell Sheldon | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mitchell Sheldon | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mitchell Sheldon | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Billy Suarez | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Mitchell Sheldon | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mitchell Sheldon | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Billy Suarez | 17c | 96.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Billy Suarez | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Mitchell Sheldon | 78c | 41.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mitchell Sheldon | 54c | 39.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Billy Suarez | 30c | 39.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Mitchell Sheldon | 34c | 37.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mitchell Sheldon | 39c | 28.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Mitchell Sheldon | 71c | 27.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 71c | 26.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Mitchell Sheldon | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Mitchell Sheldon | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Mitchell Sheldon | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.