College Football · resolved market
Oregon vs. Rutgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e4fbd2d3748530449776fc98cd47651ee57dd4c3deb665252417b3533b15f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof Oregon, Rutgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers | 11c | 17,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rutgers | 11c | 11,111$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.21 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rutgers | 13c | 11,021$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.11 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rutgers | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Rutgers | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rutgers | 11c | 9,995$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rutgers | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers | 11c | 5,846$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.03 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Rutgers | 12c | 5,511$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.44 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rutgers | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rutgers | 13c | 2,969$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rutgers | 12c | 2,849$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.91 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Rutgers | 13c | 2,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rutgers | 12c | 2,091$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rutgers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Rutgers | 12c | 1,908$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rutgers | 1c | 1,611$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Rutgers | 12c | 1,108$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rutgers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rutgers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rutgers | 11c | 769.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rutgers | 12c | 413$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Rutgers | 7c | 312$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rutgers | 12c | 279.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rutgers | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Rutgers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rutgers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Rutgers | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Rutgers | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rutgers | 13c | 149.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Rutgers | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Rutgers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Rutgers | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon vs. Rutgersthis page
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Rutgers: O/U 60.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Rutgers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Oregon (-17.5)Oregon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.