Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Northamptonshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691764a73e022111c9890f75113dd8303abde4c20fffa76967a6dc0a6ed78130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northamptonshireof Worcestershire, Northamptonshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Worcestershire | 36c | 2,015$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.49 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Worcestershire | 39c | 1,363$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Northamptonshire | 65c | 1,249$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.36 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Worcestershire | 48c | 1,070$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.85 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Worcestershire | 38c | 801.39$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northamptonshire | 69c | 599.41$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Worcestershire | 48c | 457.68$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…a26fbacked Worcestershire | 9c | 295.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Worcestershire | 21c | 224.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Northamptonshire | 62c | 162.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Worcestershire | 43c | 108.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Worcestershire | 45c | 107.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Worcestershire | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Worcestershire | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Northamptonshire | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Northamptonshire | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Northamptonshire | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Northamptonshire | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Northamptonshire | 63c | 47.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Northamptonshire | 44c | 45.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Worcestershire | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Northamptonshire | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Northamptonshire | 58c | 35.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Northamptonshire | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…aebabacked Worcestershire | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 24.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Northamptonshire | 52c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Northamptonshire | 55c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.