CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x693580737b021329fbf8d50385164124652fbf36a99823e23fa93e0fb75b397e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof ex-RUBY, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 2,217$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.62 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 54c | 1,808$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.62 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 1,473$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.1 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,432$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 1,093$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.67 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 16c | 1,077$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 1,066$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 855$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 49c | 801.47$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 635.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 585.3$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 542.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 430.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 319$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 282.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 274.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 239.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…515cbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 229.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 227.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 218.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 215.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 178.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 173.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 151.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FORZE Reload | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FORZE Reload | 44c | 118.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 112.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed FORZE Reload | 19c | 105.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 102.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 76.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…d5f3backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 69.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 67.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 62.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked FORZE Reload | 23c | 54.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 51.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked FORZE Reload | 21c | 49.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 40.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 37.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 37.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…fb99backed FORZE Reload | 73c | 35.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 32.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.