South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69689d36d9d7b2671ff44125d660e90e6c861ceea5f734a0fce9ceaef0a9c88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 45c | 34,056$15,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,841.17 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 11,202$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.86 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 10,500$5,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,812.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 2,456$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.63 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 1,332$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 1,324$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 1,298$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 1,221$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 882.07$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 23c | 419.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 193$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 129$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 91.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 76c | 69.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 65.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 55c | 45.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…ff69backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 54c | 28.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 55c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 57c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.