Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Carmen Gallardo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698b2f4f07cc25ef6a854f6bb2a16cd386669ec4c9a7ad886ee61807ad08766e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Yue Yuan, Carmen Gallardo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Carmen Gallardo | 11c | 52,745$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.7 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…2e88backed Carmen Gallardo | 16c | 15,970$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carmen Gallardo | 12c | 14,848$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Carmen Gallardo | 34c | 5,749$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.2 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carmen Gallardo | 17c | 3,898$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Carmen Gallardo | 11c | 3,828$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Carmen Gallardo | 8c | 3,718$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Carmen Gallardo | 6c | 2,512$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Carmen Gallardo | 7c | 1,647$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Carmen Gallardo | 35c | 1,358$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.62 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Carmen Gallardo | 3c | 1,280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yue Yuan | 63c | 1,257$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Carmen Gallardo | 3c | 999.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Carmen Gallardo | 38c | 751.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 673.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…91b7backed Yue Yuan | 51c | 605.72$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Carmen Gallardo | 20c | 585.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Carmen Gallardo | 2c | 545.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Carmen Gallardo | 3c | 390.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 377.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Carmen Gallardo | 29c | 367.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carmen Gallardo | 23c | 341.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 301.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Carmen Gallardo | 23c | 266.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 219.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 219.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 218.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Carmen Gallardo | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yue Yuan | 44c | 184.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carmen Gallardo | 15c | 184.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Carmen Gallardo | 7c | 178.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yue Yuan | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Carmen Gallardo | 60c | 96.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Carmen Gallardo | 12c | 88.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Carmen Gallardo | 23c | 78.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Carmen Gallardo | 64c | 76.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Yue Yuan | 60c | 65.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carmen Gallardo | 59c | 62.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…4620backed Carmen Gallardo | 35c | 61.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Carmen Gallardo | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Carmen Gallardo | 44c | 47.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dd…de16backed Carmen Gallardo | 46c | 42.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Yue Yuan | 52c | 41.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Carmen Gallardo | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed Carmen Gallardo | 46c | 39.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Yue Yuan | 46c | 39.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Carmen Gallardo | 65c | 37.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Yue Yuan | 75c | 36.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Yue Yuan | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 27.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Carmen Gallardo | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed Yue Yuan | 52c | 26.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yue Yuan | 61c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…582ebacked Yue Yuan | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…2946backed Yue Yuan | 68c | 23.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yue Yuan | 65c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…10debacked Yue Yuan | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yue Yuan | 62c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 121 | 92.6%112 W · 9 L | +33.2wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Carmen Gallardothis page
- Yuan vs. Gallardo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.