TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa26f…2946

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 62 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Taggerbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+386.5%+$93.69
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Carmen Gallardobacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$7.75
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$5.17
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$10.68
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$106.06
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.21
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$22.45
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefan Haita vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Stefan Haita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58%+$12.85
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Ilya Ivashka vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$4.45
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mayar Sherifbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$10.8
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$26.35
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+82.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$51.3
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$55.05
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$18.77
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+300.7%+$83.62
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$23.61
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$8.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$9.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$8.91
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$18.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$31.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$8.09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.29
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$26.27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$14.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.36
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$9.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.