Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e5f748cad453ee5ef9394f4acaf260168814e686b09d6949ba30023fea6a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 48c | 41,709$19,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,817 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 10,631$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 4,006$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 3,254$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.82 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 2,028$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.72 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 766.83$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.06 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 639.91$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 49c | 631.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 53c | 288.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 51c | 99.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 95.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 34c | 90.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 84.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 67.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 47c | 59.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 53c | 43.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Over | 55c | 42.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 52c | 36.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 35.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 35.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c777backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…d33fbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 151.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)USC Trojans won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5)USC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.