Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d655e0f081a17467d8a6237127ce1413a5d9d69fa2a4f4f31a771396379bf00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof Ohio State Buckeyes, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 58,957$31,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,060.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans | 47c | 21,314$10,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,191.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed USC Trojans | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked USC Trojans | 47c | 13,184$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.85 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed USC Trojans | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 3,967$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.78 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Trojans | 47c | 3,000$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 2,578$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.52 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked USC Trojans | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 47c | 1,737$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed USC Trojans | 48c | 1,664$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.28 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC Trojans | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed USC Trojans | 47c | 337.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed USC Trojans | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed USC Trojans | 48c | 205.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed USC Trojans | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 195.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked USC Trojans | 48c | 181$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed USC Trojans | 50c | 151.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed USC Trojans | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed USC Trojans | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked USC Trojans | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 59.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 55.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed USC Trojans | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed USC Trojans | 47c | 50.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed USC Trojans | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed USC Trojans | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed USC Trojans | 47c | 27.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed USC Trojans | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed USC Trojans | 48c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…fe7dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 52c | 20.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5)USC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5Over won
- USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.